Tips On How To Win Consistently While Betting Football

Even if you win 55% of your bets, you will come out consistently ahead. This is, however, easier said than done and involves more than just a little reading and checking the injury reports. If Paul the octopus picked every winner in the recent soccer World Cup, picking winning football teams should be just as easy, right? Wrong. If it were that easy, lots of people would be making money and the sports books would have to go out of business. If winning at football betting involves some knowledge, some strategy and, let us face it, a dash of luck, it is because the bookmakers set very tight lines for the games. However, if you keep the following tips in mind, it should improve your chances of winning.

Bet as early as you can. Many of the sports books post their lines as early as they can and some offshore books do this by Sunday afternoon for the following week’s games. If you find a game and odds that you like make sure that there are no serious injury problems for the team that you pick. Bookmakers are not perfect and can make mistakes in setting the line. Pounce early before heavy betting irons out the mistakes.

Concentrate on a few teams. Because knowledge is important, if you concentrate on a few teams, you can build up a substantial amount of knowledge which you can use in making your bets. Also limit your betting to just a few games every Sunday.

Avoid heavy favorites. The crowd loves favorites and will rush to bet on them. However, they are not good choices if you want to maintain your 55% average in winning bets. Even if you do win a few, the payouts will be small. The best strategy is to bet on short priced underdogs because, when you win, you generally make more than you have bet.

Use totals judiciously. Totals set early in the week are generally based on predictions of good weather. In late season games, rain or snow sometimes affects the scoring and a heavy wind almost always keeps scoring down. In these conditions, you would do well by betting the Under

Use yards per play ranking. One method of evaluating teams is to look at the offensive yards gained per play and the defensive yards given away per play. Teams that gain more than they lose end up winning more games. The statistics are easily available and you can calculate the difference with a positive difference being an advantage. The rule of thumb to calculate a points spread from the yardage differential is that every 0.15 yards is worth one point. A differential of 0.60 yards between the two teams is worth four points. As with all betting tools, use your other data and information to confirm your findings.

Don’t avoid teasers. There is a common perception that teasers are a rip-off and therefore best avoided. Under certain circumstances, an NFL teaser which is a two-game parlay bet can make sense.

Pay attention to the injury reports. Read the injury reports carefully to determine what difference it is going to make to the performance of your chosen team. Do not just look at key players because all the guys in the team have to perform at their peak.

The Best NFL Betting Picks and Football Predictions to Finally Start Winning

NFL football betting picks and predictions are a huge market with few consistent winners.

NFL sports betting is one of the most popular betting medians online today. Anyone who enjoys watching football or the NFL loves to wager on a game to make it more exciting. However with such a huge following and so much money in one of the richest games on the planet, more and more people want to get a piece of the pie.

90% of people who bet on football loose over time, it’s statistics that keep bookies and sports books running at a profit. However there is a small group of people who consistently profit from betting on this game.

The small percentage that do consistently profit are professional gamblers that either really know their football or follow a proven system. Both professionals have flaws in their methods but both need sound money management systems to stay profitable over time.

Knowing where to get your tips, picks and predictions can be difficult because so many people over advice. Most sports books even offer free NFL betting picks, because they know the odds are on their side over the long term.

Paying for NFL betting predictions can be expensive if it is on a recurring basis, and you would have to consistently wager every game to get your money back. It can also take a long time to test different sources and find a viable expert, due to the fact you can’t make an opinion off only a few picks.

Being a successful online business owner I decided to test this market, and built a team to study the formulas, strategies, picks and predictions available, to see if someone of limited knowledge could consistently profit over time.

Our studies found the price of recurring products to be a major problem with beginners of limited funds, due to the increased pressure. We also found that the best picks came from people who understand the game while still using a system or formula to put the odds in their favour.

The Best picks we found came free with the purchase of a proven system, meaning there is no ongoing cost or recurring fees putting pressure on the beginner.

The Best Free NFL betting predictions came from an online sports book called “Bet US” however they are not a viable long term solution, and are more for the hobbyist gambler or sports enthusiast.

In Football Betting – Are the Punters Betting Against the Bookmakers?

Most punters believe they are betting against the bookmakers. In fact, they are betting against their fellow bettors. This is represented by the fluctuations of the odds.

Why do odds change? Odds constantly change on an outcome in a particular game in response to:

* number of bets and

* amount of money staked

This is why you can see odds around 2.10 in the morning and get only 1.90 later in the day. For example, if $1000 is staked on Home win, the price for Away win will then go up to make the Away team more attractive for the punters to bet. Through the adjustment of the odds according to the market conditions, the bookmakers’ objective is to balance their books for that event.

Bookmakers do not gamble. They charge a certain percentage of margin for each bet and as long as their books are balanced, they win irrespective of the match outcome. The bookmakers set the odds according to demand and supply to balance the action from all sides and because of the margin, they always win.

In the event a bookmaker could not balance his books through odds fluctuations, he will then reduce his risk by transferring some amount of the bets wagered to other bookmakers that have odds better than his own. This is known in the industry as ‘farming out’. Thus, besides the punters, sometimes the bookmakers also trade on the betting exchanges to balance their books.

If the imbalance of money staked in an event is too great, for example, due to rumor of fixed matches, etc, the bookmakers may remove the event altogether.

So the punters are betting against each other. This means when punter Mr A wins in an event, his win is actually paid for by losing punter Mr B.

This cast the bookmaker in the role of a broker who takes commission on the market and funds the winners from the losing bets.